| Just a thought... 14:11 - Oct 11 with 4472 views | ThatMuhrenCross |
We're in a great position - 8 points clear of third currently - way above where we ever imagined we'd be.
But realistically, what did we all hope for this season? Top half? Part of me always believed 6th was always achievable, but realistically I'd probably have said about 8th.
Well... hear me out! To finish 8th last season was 68 points...
That's an average of 1.48 points per game.
So what if we were now just to average 1.48 points per game from our remaining 35 games? That would mean 52 more points.
Add that to the 28 we currently have and you'd be looking at a final total of: 80 points.
Last season, that would have been enough to finish third, and at no point in the last decade would that have seen us fail to make the play-offs.
But who is the most likely to catch us? Leeds? Sunderland? Southampton?
Assuming we made it to 80 points, to catch us, they'd have to average the following points:
Leeds - 1.74
Sunderland - 1.74
Southampton - 1.80
All in all, not only do we need to have a huge drop off to finish outside the top two, but those teams need to seriously up their game.
Will both those variables happen? Who knows?
I really fancy us for top two. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 15:12 - Oct 11 with 3267 views | TractorCam |
I predicted us 4th, given how we dismantled every "good" team towards the end of last season and played well against Rotherham and Burnley with the reserves, the foundations were there for us to continue that.
Although like you say, not sure anyone would have predicted us to have only dropped 5 points at this stage! |  |
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| Just a thought... on 15:12 - Oct 11 with 3265 views | dirtyboy |
Just enjoying every game at the moment.
Our biggest issue we'll possibly encounter will be 'managing expectations' ... |  | | |
| Just a thought... on 15:46 - Oct 11 with 3159 views | xrayspecs |
A lead of nine points on Leeds and 11 on Saints with 35 games to go is only between 0.2 and 0.3 ppg for them to catch us. So for every 10 games played they need to gain 2 or 3 more points than us.
Leicester, Southampton and Leeds have squads capable of getting more than 90 points this season.
Lots to be positive about but too many folk are getting ahead of themselves imv.
One game at a time and all that.
[Post edited 11 Oct 2023 15:49]
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| Just a thought... on 15:49 - Oct 11 with 3134 views | Herbivore |
100 points, 100 goals. Turns out I was being overly pessimistic. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 16:16 - Oct 11 with 3030 views | Kropotkin123 |
| Just a thought... on 15:12 - Oct 11 by TractorCam |
I predicted us 4th, given how we dismantled every "good" team towards the end of last season and played well against Rotherham and Burnley with the reserves, the foundations were there for us to continue that.
Although like you say, not sure anyone would have predicted us to have only dropped 5 points at this stage! |
Me too. In my mind though, it was more like we would be around 6-8 by January and then strengthen areas where players didn't make the step up.
Instead we are 2nd, having won 9 from 11. So to predict lower than 2nd at this point seems to go against my logic of thinking we can identify areas to improve in the winter window.
That being said, we only need to look at how we chased down a 8 point gap to a Sheff Wed side that got 96 points to understand that things aren't that simple. There are plenty of points to play for and nothing stopping another side from putting together an extraordinary run. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 16:19 - Oct 11 with 3008 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Just a thought... on 16:16 - Oct 11 by Kropotkin123 |
Me too. In my mind though, it was more like we would be around 6-8 by January and then strengthen areas where players didn't make the step up.
Instead we are 2nd, having won 9 from 11. So to predict lower than 2nd at this point seems to go against my logic of thinking we can identify areas to improve in the winter window.
That being said, we only need to look at how we chased down a 8 point gap to a Sheff Wed side that got 96 points to understand that things aren't that simple. There are plenty of points to play for and nothing stopping another side from putting together an extraordinary run. |
What is the average position predicted for us in the prediction competition? And the lowest too (I know some predicted us top, didn't they?)? |  |
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| Just a thought... on 16:23 - Oct 11 with 2988 views | BlueBoots |
Thread from July 10th...wonder if anyone wants to change their predictions now?!
League Position by Tractor_Boy_Tommy 10 Jul 2023 17:17Right everyone I know we may have a few new players coming in and going out but realistically where abouts do you think we will finish in the league come the end of the season I would say between 8th and 10th
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| Just a thought... on 16:38 - Oct 11 with 2920 views | Herbivore |
| Just a thought... on 16:23 - Oct 11 by BlueBoots |
Thread from July 10th...wonder if anyone wants to change their predictions now?!
League Position by Tractor_Boy_Tommy 10 Jul 2023 17:17Right everyone I know we may have a few new players coming in and going out but realistically where abouts do you think we will finish in the league come the end of the season I would say between 8th and 10th
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Some horrific picks in there. | |
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| Just a thought... on 16:42 - Oct 11 with 2907 views | Kropotkin123 |
| Just a thought... on 16:19 - Oct 11 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What is the average position predicted for us in the prediction competition? And the lowest too (I know some predicted us top, didn't they?)? |
I'm on my commute, I'll aim to look it up at lunch (ETA 3h30). | |
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| Just a thought... on 16:44 - Oct 11 with 2899 views | Muncher |
Honestly, I predicted top two long before a ball was kicked and I stand by that. | | | |
| Just a thought... on 17:16 - Oct 11 with 2817 views | Swansea_Blue |
The miserable git in me is expecting a collapse. I’d be trawling through tables looking for examples of when teams have imploded from our position, if I could be bothered. That’s what following Towen through the Marcus Evans years has done to me.
I’m only just starting to believe we can actually compete. But it’s not fully sunk in yet. That’s daft really, as if I was looking in from outside as a neutral I’d say we’re were very well equipped to go up automatically. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 17:51 - Oct 11 with 2700 views | Illinoisblue |
| Just a thought... on 17:16 - Oct 11 by Swansea_Blue |
The miserable git in me is expecting a collapse. I’d be trawling through tables looking for examples of when teams have imploded from our position, if I could be bothered. That’s what following Towen through the Marcus Evans years has done to me.
I’m only just starting to believe we can actually compete. But it’s not fully sunk in yet. That’s daft really, as if I was looking in from outside as a neutral I’d say we’re were very well equipped to go up automatically. |
Not gonna lie, the thought of a heartbreaking playoff loss keeps me awake at night. And imagine it was them. Again. Shudder. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 17:51 - Oct 11 with 2698 views | iamatractorboy |
The old maxim 'one game at a time' has never been more appropriate in my eyes. But maybe I'm just being a miserable old so and so... sod it, 110pts and 100 goals whoop whoop! | | | |
| Just a thought... on 17:51 - Oct 11 with 2698 views | MK1 |
Would have been happy with top half before the season, but think top 6 is very much a possibility now. To be honest, the start has already made my season, so everything else is just going to be a bonus. |  | | |
| Just a thought... on 18:57 - Oct 11 with 2541 views | BiGDonnie |
| Just a thought... on 16:38 - Oct 11 by Herbivore |
Some horrific picks in there. |
Yup. How the fook did I only predict top 6. What a melt. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 19:00 - Oct 11 with 2533 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
Hopefully McKenna has set the target of just three more points...
...from the next game. Keep doing that and the table looks after itself. | | | |
| Just a thought... on 19:02 - Oct 11 with 2525 views | BlueBadger |
| Just a thought... on 16:38 - Oct 11 by Herbivore |
Some horrific picks in there. |
Ah now, some of them don't come across too badly.
Hang on, you said 'picks' didn't you? |  |
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| Just a thought... on 19:20 - Oct 11 with 2478 views | ketton_itfc |
I thought 5th based on the fact we don't lose many games and our form at the end of last season was not just that of a top L1 team but a team much higher playing in the League.
So when it came to looking at the season ahead my thoughts to what dictates our season is (and still does) how many games we draw. My original thoughts concluded we'd win 20 odd games, draw 15 and lose 11 give or take a game or two.
I think that kind of form may play out for the rest of the season so 16 W, 11D and 8L giving 59pts, resulting a final tally of 87 points so for me now my revision would be 2nd/3rd. |  | | |
| Just a thought... on 20:23 - Oct 11 with 2367 views | Kropotkin123 |
| Just a thought... on 16:19 - Oct 11 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What is the average position predicted for us in the prediction competition? And the lowest too (I know some predicted us top, didn't they?)? |
Mean: 6.75
Mode: 6
Median: 7
High: 1
Low: 18 (18 was actually from the Opta "supercomputer". Lowest human answer is 14)
ITFC Position - Number of Predictions
1 - 4
2 - 6
3 - 3
4 - 6
5 - 13
6 - 16
7 - 8
8 - 8
9 - 7
10 - 9
11 - 2
12 - 1
13 - 4
14 - 1
15 - 0
16 - 0
17 - 0
18 - 1
19 - 0
20 - 0
21 - 0
22 - 0
23 - 0
24 - 0 [Post edited 11 Oct 2023 20:23]
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| Just a thought... on 20:32 - Oct 11 with 2329 views | BiGDonnie |
| Just a thought... on 20:23 - Oct 11 by Kropotkin123 |
Mean: 6.75
Mode: 6
Median: 7
High: 1
Low: 18 (18 was actually from the Opta "supercomputer". Lowest human answer is 14)
ITFC Position - Number of Predictions
1 - 4
2 - 6
3 - 3
4 - 6
5 - 13
6 - 16
7 - 8
8 - 8
9 - 7
10 - 9
11 - 2
12 - 1
13 - 4
14 - 1
15 - 0
16 - 0
17 - 0
18 - 1
19 - 0
20 - 0
21 - 0
22 - 0
23 - 0
24 - 0 [Post edited 11 Oct 2023 20:23]
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Yeah, but is your boy still top? | |
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| Just a thought... on 20:57 - Oct 11 with 2272 views | Kropotkin123 |
| Just a thought... on 20:32 - Oct 11 by BiGDonnie |
Yeah, but is your boy still top? |
Gameweek 11 Leaderboard
1 Yppswyche 100
2 The_Flashing_Smile 102
3 thatbdude 104
4 ITFCed 108
5 Superblue95 112
6 _81 112
7 brazil1982 114
8 Parky 114
9 ChorleyBoy 116
10 jakeyboy26 116
It's a disaster, you're below me!
15 Kropotkin123 120
37 BiGDonnie 128 | |
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| Just a thought... on 20:59 - Oct 11 with 2267 views | BanksterDebtSlave |
| Just a thought... on 20:23 - Oct 11 by Kropotkin123 |
Mean: 6.75
Mode: 6
Median: 7
High: 1
Low: 18 (18 was actually from the Opta "supercomputer". Lowest human answer is 14)
ITFC Position - Number of Predictions
1 - 4
2 - 6
3 - 3
4 - 6
5 - 13
6 - 16
7 - 8
8 - 8
9 - 7
10 - 9
11 - 2
12 - 1
13 - 4
14 - 1
15 - 0
16 - 0
17 - 0
18 - 1
19 - 0
20 - 0
21 - 0
22 - 0
23 - 0
24 - 0 [Post edited 11 Oct 2023 20:23]
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Great work.
Stupid computers. |  |
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| Just a thought... on 21:01 - Oct 11 with 2261 views | BanksterDebtSlave |
| Just a thought... on 20:57 - Oct 11 by Kropotkin123 |
Gameweek 11 Leaderboard
1 Yppswyche 100
2 The_Flashing_Smile 102
3 thatbdude 104
4 ITFCed 108
5 Superblue95 112
6 _81 112
7 brazil1982 114
8 Parky 114
9 ChorleyBoy 116
10 jakeyboy26 116
It's a disaster, you're below me!
15 Kropotkin123 120
37 BiGDonnie 128 |
Dollers!!
The World's gone mad! | |
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| Just a thought... on 23:14 - Oct 11 with 2165 views | E_I_E_I_E_I_O |
After 11 games of a season it’s easy to be in a false position but we are not a case of that. Even the most pessimistic fan can see our football and all the stats are a true reflection of where we sit in the table.
The only concern I see is injuries to key players. However that is only a slight concern for 2 reasons. You only have to look at the subs we always make and the squad cohesion to see any changes would be a seemless process with not much difference in play. Also we are now a very attractive proposition so the best players moving to championship level teams in January would probably favour us over any rivals.
The odds are now suggesting we have more chance of promotion than not and although scumbags the bookies will more likely get this right.
Furthermore after games this season you only have to look at honest fan reactions of opponents and it’s noticeably frequent how we are seen as the best team they have played. | | | |
| Just a thought... on 00:17 - Oct 12 with 2103 views | Guthrum |
| Just a thought... on 16:44 - Oct 11 by Muncher |
Honestly, I predicted top two long before a ball was kicked and I stand by that. |
I reckoned we would finish 2nd three seasons in a row. |  |
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