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Six wins from the final 11 14:51 - Mar 3 with 4002 viewstextbackup

Sees us over the line, doesn’t it?!
93 points…

Maybe Chuck a draw or 3 in there too

We’ll be good again... one day
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Six wins from the final 11 on 14:55 - Mar 3 with 2934 viewspointofblue

Shockingly, I'm not sure if 93 points will be enough.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 14:56 - Mar 3 with 2925 viewsDennyx4

Sadly, I don’t believe so - think we need to aim for 100 points.

25 points from the last 11 (8 wins and a draw)
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Six wins from the final 11 on 14:57 - Mar 3 with 2916 viewsSitfcB

I think it goes down to the wire unless we keep winning and others keep dropping points

COYB
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Six wins from the final 11 on 14:57 - Mar 3 with 2914 views_clive_baker_

25 points, 30 goals innit
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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:02 - Mar 3 with 2859 viewsLord_Lucan

I have a feeling we will blow it on goal difference

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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:05 - Mar 3 with 2824 viewsBent_double

Six wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats sounds reasonable.

That would rule Soton out of top 2 (unless one of the defeats is against them) as they would need a minimum of 8 wins from 11 and they have all the top 3 to play.

If Leicester struggle in the next few games upto the FA Cup game v Chelsea, I can see them dropping to 3rd, if that happens I think they'll stay there, with us and Leeds up.

So yeah, why not.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:26 - Mar 3 with 2704 viewsBtreeBlueBlood

Six wins from the final 11 on 15:02 - Mar 3 by Lord_Lucan

I have a feeling we will blow it on goal difference


Our results after Norwich and losing Burgess and Morsy (suspended) have really hampered us in our points tally!

The win train 🚂 is on a roll now as it did in league 1!
We know what to do and have experience or just keep winning!
The 3 other don’t and just keep it up!
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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:46 - Mar 3 with 2614 viewsTRUE_BLUE123

93 won't do it.. I think 97 plus

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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:50 - Mar 3 with 2579 viewsChocorange

Six wins from the final 11 on 14:56 - Mar 3 by Dennyx4

Sadly, I don’t believe so - think we need to aim for 100 points.

25 points from the last 11 (8 wins and a draw)


If you look at the first games this season against the remaining 11 opponents that we have , then we got 9;wins 2 draws and no defeats from those matches.

I’d take that !
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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:51 - Mar 3 with 2572 viewsLankHenners

Think it's got to be 8 wins really, or the equivalent win/draw combo to take us to 97 points (though I guess 6 wins and 4 draws does that). Going to be another season where someone's going to miss out with a mid-90s points total.

And as Lucan points out Leicester and Leeds effectively have an extra point on us due to their far superior goal difference.

Think we should back ourselves to win every home game remaining and at least 2 of the aways. That may well be enough.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:51 - Mar 3 with 2560 viewssmithy69

Six wins from the final 11 on 15:02 - Mar 3 by Lord_Lucan

I have a feeling we will blow it on goal difference


Whatever happens - I’m not sure anyone could say we have “blown it”
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Six wins from the final 11 on 15:58 - Mar 3 with 2510 viewsITFC_Forever

No chance.

It’s going to need to be 100 points or near to it.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:05 - Mar 3 with 2457 viewsHerbivore

It's so hard to call how many wins we'll need and how many points it'll take, which is why the one game at a time mantra really is the best approach. It served us so well last season and seems to be working nicely for us right now. Keep aiming to win every game, focus on that, and if the results keep flowing we'll be there or thereabouts. That said, I think it's going to take more than 93 points to go up this year so we need to just pick up as many points as we can.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:09 - Mar 3 with 2424 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Six wins from the final 11 on 15:58 - Mar 3 by ITFC_Forever

No chance.

It’s going to need to be 100 points or near to it.


Even that may not be enough.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:09 - Mar 3 with 2421 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Six wins from the final 11 on 14:57 - Mar 3 by SitfcB

I think it goes down to the wire unless we keep winning and others keep dropping points


Or vice versa!

One game at a time. Keep winning and let the others worry about it.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:15 - Mar 3 with 2367 viewsJoey_Joe_Joe_Junior

Nope
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:21 - Mar 3 with 2325 viewsMattinLondon

Six wins from the final 11 on 14:55 - Mar 3 by pointofblue

Shockingly, I'm not sure if 93 points will be enough.


Good chance that 93 points will only get a team to forth.
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:21 - Mar 3 with 2322 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Six wins from the final 11 on 16:15 - Mar 3 by Joey_Joe_Joe_Junior

Nope


11 from 11 definitely does it!

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:25 - Mar 3 with 2282 viewsSimonds92

Six wins from the final 11 on 15:26 - Mar 3 by BtreeBlueBlood

Our results after Norwich and losing Burgess and Morsy (suspended) have really hampered us in our points tally!

The win train 🚂 is on a roll now as it did in league 1!
We know what to do and have experience or just keep winning!
The 3 other don’t and just keep it up!


If we had a half decent championship striker available, we would have beaten qpr and stoke and be sat a point clear at the top.
If we do miss out, i really hope its by more than 4 points as it would be so frustrating.
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:32 - Mar 3 with 2193 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Six wins from the final 11 on 16:21 - Mar 3 by MattinLondon

Good chance that 93 points will only get a team to forth.


Very much doubt that. The play-offs won't be in Scotland.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:35 - Mar 3 with 2172 viewsHelp

OGAAT
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:36 - Mar 3 with 2160 viewsJoey_Joe_Joe_Junior

Six wins from the final 11 on 16:21 - Mar 3 by Nthsuffolkblue

11 from 11 definitely does it!


Scenario 1
7 wins
2 draws
2 losses
Points 98

60% chance

Scenario 2
8 wins
1 draw
3 losses
Points 100

80% chance

Scenario 3
9 wins
2 losses
102 Points

95% chance

Scenario 4
10 wins
1 loss
105 Points

Promotion

Scenario 5
11 wins
108 Points

Guaranteed promotion (obvs)

Anything less than scenario 1 we would require a bigger drop off around us than I expect to happen. I think it takes a minimum of 97 considering we will have an inferior goal difference. Could be wrong of course.
[Post edited 3 Mar 16:37]
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:39 - Mar 3 with 2117 viewsBiGDonnie

Six wins from the final 11 on 15:02 - Mar 3 by Lord_Lucan

I have a feeling we will blow it on goal difference


Based on the current form of the top 4, we won't need a superior goal difference

Ridiculously, I don't think 6 wins is enough. I do think we're going up in the top two though.

One game at a time.

COYBs
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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:41 - Mar 3 with 2090 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Six wins from the final 11 on 16:39 - Mar 3 by BiGDonnie

Based on the current form of the top 4, we won't need a superior goal difference

Ridiculously, I don't think 6 wins is enough. I do think we're going up in the top two though.

One game at a time.


Does the current form put us top with Leicester 4th?

Not long ago the form would have put us well behind with Leicester and Southampton well clear of Leeds.

Form changes quickly. We need to keep winning.

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Six wins from the final 11 on 16:45 - Mar 3 with 2042 viewspointofblue

Six wins from the final 11 on 16:41 - Mar 3 by Nthsuffolkblue

Does the current form put us top with Leicester 4th?

Not long ago the form would have put us well behind with Leicester and Southampton well clear of Leeds.

Form changes quickly. We need to keep winning.


Scarily, we need to finish in similar vein to last year. With no disrespect to League One, our opponents are much tougher this season.

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