| Today's election betting odds 11:21 - Dec 9 with 652 views | Tommyparker |
Overall Majority
Conservative 8/25
Labour 33/1
No overall majority 4/1
Most seats
Conservative 1/20
Labour 14/1
Most votes
Conservative 1/20
Labour 10/1
Conservative seats total
300-349 5/6
350-399 6/4
Labour seats total
300-349 22/1
350-399 50/1
Turnout
60%-65% 3/1
65%-70% 6/4
70%-75% 3/1
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| Today's election betting odds on 12:07 - Dec 9 with 587 views | wkj |
Well played, not just footie stats. |  |
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| My interpretation of polling on 12:32 - Dec 9 with 555 views | Guthrum |
Conservatives have increased their support in already Conservative areas (Thames estuary, Lincolnshire), mainly by hoovering up erstwhile Brexit Party backers. May not gain them many seats.
Labour support is down in many areas, but they're picking up LibDem tactical voters in marginal seats. Might cut their losses somewhat (except in Scotland).
LibDems are losing as above, but their vote is concentrating in seats they hope to win/defend, particularly in south-western England.
The Brexit Party has largely imploded in chaos, partly due to some very poor strategic and tactical decisions. Will do well to win any seats. |  |
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| My interpretation of polling on 12:36 - Dec 9 with 537 views | wkj |
| My interpretation of polling on 12:32 - Dec 9 by Guthrum |
Conservatives have increased their support in already Conservative areas (Thames estuary, Lincolnshire), mainly by hoovering up erstwhile Brexit Party backers. May not gain them many seats.
Labour support is down in many areas, but they're picking up LibDem tactical voters in marginal seats. Might cut their losses somewhat (except in Scotland).
LibDems are losing as above, but their vote is concentrating in seats they hope to win/defend, particularly in south-western England.
The Brexit Party has largely imploded in chaos, partly due to some very poor strategic and tactical decisions. Will do well to win any seats. |
Another session with a hung parliament Guthers? | |
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| My interpretation of polling on 12:51 - Dec 9 with 498 views | Guthrum |
| My interpretation of polling on 12:36 - Dec 9 by wkj |
Another session with a hung parliament Guthers? |
I still think that's likely. Conservatives the largest party, but unable to form a secure government and outnumbered by a Labour-LibDem-SNP-Green-Plaid (fairly loose) alliance. | |
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| Today's election betting odds on 12:53 - Dec 9 with 485 views | baxterbasics |
NOM at 4/1 has to be worth a tenner. |  |
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| My interpretation of polling on 12:55 - Dec 9 with 482 views | wkj |
| My interpretation of polling on 12:51 - Dec 9 by Guthrum |
I still think that's likely. Conservatives the largest party, but unable to form a secure government and outnumbered by a Labour-LibDem-SNP-Green-Plaid (fairly loose) alliance. |
I was saying on another post I see Cons winning but have a weird niggling feeling Boris will lose his constituency.
Edit: He also probably has the stubbornness to appoint himself a lord if this happens. [Post edited 9 Dec 2019 12:57]
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| My interpretation of polling on 13:25 - Dec 9 with 434 views | Guthrum |
| My interpretation of polling on 12:55 - Dec 9 by wkj |
I was saying on another post I see Cons winning but have a weird niggling feeling Boris will lose his constituency.
Edit: He also probably has the stubbornness to appoint himself a lord if this happens. [Post edited 9 Dec 2019 12:57]
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Probably wouldn't help him. Apart from the few days before Alec Douglas-Home disclaimed his peerage in 1963, we haven't had a Prime Minister in the Lords since Salisbury in 1902. Home was also the only PM in the modern era to not be a member of Parliament at all (for three weeks before winning a by-election). | |
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