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Still on track 10:34 - Oct 24 with 646 viewsGuthrum

Before the season started, I reckoned we could afford to lose 6 and draw 12 games this season - plus 28 wins, totalling 96 points, from 46 games - to pretty much guarantee us automatic promotion (probably top spot). The highest points total for third place in the last 10 completed seasons is 90, in 2011-12.

Obviously, the number of matches is now only 44, but that will reduce the points required to win the division, too.

If Town maintain our current ratio of W8 D3 L2, we are on target to finish with (rounded to nearest*): W27 D10 L7, giving 91 points. As mentioned above, that would have placed us top two even in a 46-game division over the last 10 years.

We still have a game in hand on the two teams alongside us. Just need to make sure we lose no more than two out of the next dozen and keep draws down to nearly the same level.


* Resulted in losses rounded up, the other two down.
[Post edited 24 Oct 2019 10:36]

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Still on track on 10:36 - Oct 24 with 619 viewsC_HealyIsAPleasure

Completely agree, but wouldn’t it have been easier to just look at the league table to see that we’re still on track? 🙂

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Still on track on 10:42 - Oct 24 with 595 viewsGuthrum

Still on track on 10:36 - Oct 24 by C_HealyIsAPleasure

Completely agree, but wouldn’t it have been easier to just look at the league table to see that we’re still on track? 🙂


The emphasis is more on the numbers of losses and draws we can afford to have. If we lose the next two, but then go undefeated (with few draws) until mid January, we'd still be on target.

Need to think of it like credit. We can afford one or two bad spells this season, as long as we're outstanding the rest of the time.

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Still on track on 10:55 - Oct 24 with 571 viewsRonFearonsHair

Still on track on 10:42 - Oct 24 by Guthrum

The emphasis is more on the numbers of losses and draws we can afford to have. If we lose the next two, but then go undefeated (with few draws) until mid January, we'd still be on target.

Need to think of it like credit. We can afford one or two bad spells this season, as long as we're outstanding the rest of the time.


I'm from the Joe Royle school of thought. 2 points per game is more often than not enough for promotion. We are still on for 2 points per game.
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Still on track on 10:56 - Oct 24 with 562 viewsSwansea_Blue

Still on track on 10:55 - Oct 24 by RonFearonsHair

I'm from the Joe Royle school of thought. 2 points per game is more often than not enough for promotion. We are still on for 2 points per game.


Let's hope we get 2 points on Saturday then 🙃

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