| Top of the form table 17:36 - Dec 3 with 2636 views | Jeff_winger |
We might not be top of the league.
We are top of the 6 game form table though.
I see a post last night claiming we'd only one one game in nine if you don't count cups.
That is a hell of a way to twist stats, discount cup games but still include them in the count of 9.
We are still on course.... believe |  | | |  |
| Top of the form table on 17:39 - Dec 3 with 2342 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
That can't be right; the doom mongers say we are on a downward trajectory.
And the post was from Wallingford. I am still not sure if he was trolling or if it is just Wally. |  |
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| Top of the form table on 17:43 - Dec 3 with 2322 views | LeoMuff |
The Exeter game was one of or maybe the best performance of the season for me, totally controlled against a decent side, our last league game better before Fleetwood |  |
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| Top of the form table on 17:53 - Dec 3 with 2287 views | Illinoisblue |
Wasn’t it Wallingford last night being a prick with the stats? |  |
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| Top of the form table on 17:55 - Dec 3 with 2277 views | WestSussexBlue |
And 6th over the last 4 games. That’s a little more realistic. |  | | |
| Top of the form table on 18:27 - Dec 3 with 2211 views | Ryorry |
| Top of the form table on 17:55 - Dec 3 by WestSussexBlue |
And 6th over the last 4 games. That’s a little more realistic. |
And all while we've had significant injuries. |  |
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| Top of the form table on 18:28 - Dec 3 with 2210 views | Jeff_winger |
| Top of the form table on 17:55 - Dec 3 by WestSussexBlue |
And 6th over the last 4 games. That’s a little more realistic. |
2nd over 20 games | | | |
| Top of the form table on 18:31 - Dec 3 with 2204 views | ArnieM |
The main thing I want to see is Sheffield Weds lose a game snd we win the same weekend. We need as gap between us snd them to widen |  |
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| Top of the form table on 18:34 - Dec 3 with 2193 views | StokieBlue |
| Top of the form table on 18:31 - Dec 3 by ArnieM |
The main thing I want to see is Sheffield Weds lose a game snd we win the same weekend. We need as gap between us snd them to widen |
That'll happen in February when we beat them at PR.
SB |  |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Top of the form table on 18:38 - Dec 3 with 2170 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Top of the form table on 18:28 - Dec 3 by Jeff_winger |
2nd over 20 games |
Indeed, why would 4 games be more representative than 20? We are 12th in the 1-match form table! | |
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| Top of the form table on 18:39 - Dec 3 with 2167 views | jayessess |
| Top of the form table on 18:31 - Dec 3 by ArnieM |
The main thing I want to see is Sheffield Weds lose a game snd we win the same weekend. We need as gap between us snd them to widen |
Whisper it, but Plymouth haven't won in 3 games. Might be them that we're widening a gap with pretty soon... |  |
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| Top of the form table on 18:40 - Dec 3 with 2160 views | StokieBlue |
| Top of the form table on 17:55 - Dec 3 by WestSussexBlue |
And 6th over the last 4 games. That’s a little more realistic. |
Quality P-Hacking there.
Well done.
SB | |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Top of the form table on 19:07 - Dec 3 with 2090 views | BlueBadger |
| Top of the form table on 17:55 - Dec 3 by WestSussexBlue |
And 6th over the last 4 games. That’s a little more realistic. |
Marvellous use of the Roy Keane Stats technique.
If you ignore all the games we've won, we're actually in a relegation fight. |  |
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| Top of the form table on 19:19 - Dec 3 with 2054 views | BlueBadger |
| Top of the form table on 17:53 - Dec 3 by Illinoisblue |
Wasn’t it Wallingford last night being a prick with the stats? |
Wallers deciding he wants to be a Frimmers tribute act now rater than a Paz one is possibly the most tragic thing we'll ever witness of TWTD. | |
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| Top of the form table on 19:53 - Dec 3 with 1988 views | Geomorph |
| Top of the form table on 18:31 - Dec 3 by ArnieM |
The main thing I want to see is Sheffield Weds lose a game snd we win the same weekend. We need as gap between us snd them to widen |
I think we’ll go up with weds |  | | |
| Top of the form table on 20:11 - Dec 3 with 1944 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Top of the form table on 19:53 - Dec 3 by Geomorph |
I think we’ll go up with weds |
Anyone who is writing off Plymouth is akin to those writing us off because of a couple of results.
I would love to see us and Plymouth go up but as long as we are one of the top two, that is what really matters. | |
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| Top of the form table on 20:25 - Dec 3 with 1906 views | jayessess |
| Top of the form table on 20:11 - Dec 3 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Anyone who is writing off Plymouth is akin to those writing us off because of a couple of results.
I would love to see us and Plymouth go up but as long as we are one of the top two, that is what really matters. |
Not writing Plymouth off exactly, but there's good reasons to imagine they can't sustain their current form. The underlying stats (shots for/against, xG for/against) don't have them as anything special, they're not realistically going to strengthen in January either. | |
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| Top of the form table on 21:00 - Dec 3 with 1846 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Top of the form table on 20:25 - Dec 3 by jayessess |
Not writing Plymouth off exactly, but there's good reasons to imagine they can't sustain their current form. The underlying stats (shots for/against, xG for/against) don't have them as anything special, they're not realistically going to strengthen in January either. |
Are those underlying stats any worse than they were for them last season? They maintained form until very near the end of the season and were desperately unfortunate for their points tally to not even make the play-offs. They have ridden out an injury crisis too.
If they lose their loanees and cannot replace them, fair enough, but I see the idea that their foundation is not strong enough as similar to the idea that Wycombe's wasn't. They have a well-managed team that is performing above the sum of its parts.
Time will tell. | |
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| Top of the form table on 21:08 - Dec 3 with 1803 views | Metal_Hacker |
| Top of the form table on 17:53 - Dec 3 by Illinoisblue |
Wasn’t it Wallingford last night being a prick with the stats? |
Argh did I miss Wally being a prick damn
Hopefully there’ll be another time  |  |
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| Top of the form table on 21:09 - Dec 3 with 1793 views | billlm |
I saw that, it surprised me, |  | | |
| Top of the form table on 21:13 - Dec 3 with 1762 views | FrimleyBlue |
| Top of the form table on 19:19 - Dec 3 by BlueBadger |
Wallers deciding he wants to be a Frimmers tribute act now rater than a Paz one is possibly the most tragic thing we'll ever witness of TWTD. |
Blimey Badge. That's the 5th time you've mentioned me in 24 hours, for someone who has me on ignore.. you don't half think about me alot. |  |
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| Top of the form table on 21:37 - Dec 3 with 1728 views | blueislander |
| Top of the form table on 20:11 - Dec 3 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Anyone who is writing off Plymouth is akin to those writing us off because of a couple of results.
I would love to see us and Plymouth go up but as long as we are one of the top two, that is what really matters. |
I posted a few weeks ago that any team that finishes above Wednesdaywill get promoted, and I stand by that. | | | |
| Top of the form table on 21:40 - Dec 3 with 1724 views | jayessess |
| Top of the form table on 21:00 - Dec 3 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Are those underlying stats any worse than they were for them last season? They maintained form until very near the end of the season and were desperately unfortunate for their points tally to not even make the play-offs. They have ridden out an injury crisis too.
If they lose their loanees and cannot replace them, fair enough, but I see the idea that their foundation is not strong enough as similar to the idea that Wycombe's wasn't. They have a well-managed team that is performing above the sum of its parts.
Time will tell. |
I do think they're better than last season and it's not impossible that they keep this up, but... it's not uncommon for teams to go off like the clappers and regress to somewhat when the nights get longer (see, for instance, Ipswich Town, 2014-15).
It's often the team that is winning games when they perhaps don't deserve to. And it's often teams without the resources to reinforce in January.
Like I say, they don't seem to be that good
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| Top of the form table on 21:46 - Dec 3 with 1704 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Top of the form table on 21:40 - Dec 3 by jayessess |
I do think they're better than last season and it's not impossible that they keep this up, but... it's not uncommon for teams to go off like the clappers and regress to somewhat when the nights get longer (see, for instance, Ipswich Town, 2014-15).
It's often the team that is winning games when they perhaps don't deserve to. And it's often teams without the resources to reinforce in January.
Like I say, they don't seem to be that good
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To flip that around, Plymouth are clinical, and see games out, outperforming their XG. The fact they did so last season as well would suggest there is a shortcoming to XG. | |
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| Top of the form table on 23:03 - Dec 3 with 1614 views | jayessess |
| Top of the form table on 21:46 - Dec 3 by Nthsuffolkblue |
To flip that around, Plymouth are clinical, and see games out, outperforming their XG. The fact they did so last season as well would suggest there is a shortcoming to XG. |
Last year's Top 2 were the Top 2 for xG, last season's Top 6 the same.
"Being clinical" is one those things that varies hugely, you go through patches where everything goes in, others where nothing does. We were the most clinical side in the league for the first half of last season, the worst in the league in the second half. Not sure either patch said anything concrete about our forwards.
Nothing's guaranteed, but if you're asking me probabilities, then the team that's scoring more and conceding fewer than expected is likelier than any other to drop off. | |
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| Top of the form table on 23:50 - Dec 3 with 1549 views | braveblue |
Well done. We are doing really well. | | | |
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