| The path ahead, post-Nodge 16:27 - Dec 16 with 449 views | JimInGreensboro |
Still well on-target.
Based on ten-year averages in the Championship, here’s what we would need to do the rest of the way to reach the play-offs or earn automatic promotion:
Play-offs:
• 22 more points from our remaining 24 matches for a total of 74 (10-year play-offs average)
o That’s an average of .917 points per match
o Example: win 6 draw 4 lose 14 (worst case scenario)
Automatics:
• 38 more points from 24 matches for a total of 90 (ten-year automatic promotion average)
o That’s an average of 1.583 points per match
o Ex: win 11, draw 5, lose 8
Goal differentials notwithstanding.
We are presently on a 2.36 point per match pace and have 12 home matches and 12 away matches remaining.
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| The path ahead, post-Nodge on 16:58 - Dec 16 with 384 views | Wacko |
Just to point out, the average for automatic promotion is 85 points not 90. You need to take the average of third place + 1 point, not second place | |
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| The path ahead, post-Nodge on 17:23 - Dec 16 with 337 views | GeoffSentence |
| The path ahead, post-Nodge on 16:58 - Dec 16 by Wacko |
Just to point out, the average for automatic promotion is 85 points not 90. You need to take the average of third place + 1 point, not second place |
Leeds and Southampton both on course for 88 points, but they are both improving after a slow start, so if we are going tp get promoted in autos I am pretty sure we will need well in excess of 90 points this season. |  |
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