Post-Birmingham, based on ten-year averages in the Championship, here’s what we would need to do the rest of the way to reach the play-offs or earn automatic promotion:
Play-offs: 1.219 points per match from the remaining 32 matches.
• That's 39 more points for a total of 74 (ten-year playoff average)
• Example: win 11, draw 6, lose 15 (worst case scenario)
Automatics: 1.719 ppm.
• That's 55 more points from 32 matches for a total of 90 (ten-year automatic promotion average)
• Ex: win 16, draw 7, lose 9
Goal differentials notwithstanding.
We are presently on a 2.5 point per match pace and have 16 home matches and 16 away matches remaining. |  |
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