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Part Two: The Change in Ownership to Gamechanger and the Financial Wash-up
Written by SanityBlue on Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024 10:17

In Part One I discussed the poor recruiting under Marcus Evans (ME). In this second part I wanted to start by discussing his manager appointments before going onto financial matters.

We forget how incredibly lucky ITFC was in the appointments of Alf Ramsey and Bobby Robson. Alf Ramsey had been a fine player and had represented England but had not managed a football club previously.

Bobby Robson had also represented England but his first foray into management with Fulham resulted in relegation from the old First Division. In modern football it’s hard to imagine a manager who fails in his first job being given another opportunity by a top-flight club. ITFC took that risk and it paid off but only after a few seasons of struggle.

It’s easy to criticize ME’s appointments with the benefit of hindsight. Jim Magilton had done a reasonable job as manager for three years up to April 2009 when he was replaced by Roy Keane. There were some grumblings about the sacking given that he was a fine former player and had been constrained by a modest player budget. However, the consensus was that it was a good decision.

Keane had been a dynamic player and possessed a personality that most people believed drove those around him to success. In his first manager’s job he took Sunderland to the Premier League with a huge tally of points. Expectations were that he would do the same with ITFC. There will always be speculation about why the methods he employed at Sunderland didn’t work at our club.

Paul Jewell became the second manager to be appointed by ME in January 2011. Again, it was widely seen as a good appointment. He had achieved promotion to the Premier League with two clubs – Bradford City and Wigan Athletic. Surely he could do the same with a bigger club like ITFC? But it wasn’t to be.

When Mick McCarthy became the next manager in October 2012 the thinking was he was the right man for the job. He was highly experienced having managed the Republic of Ireland and his resumé included two promotions to the Premier League with Sunderland and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

There were some misgivings about his style of play. However, what overrode everything was the thinking that ITFC had a soft underbelly. The players had become too comfortable drawing fat salaries for mid-table mediocrity in the Championship and a no-nonsense guy like McCarthy would shake things up.

During McCarthy’s near-six years in charge we saw awful football, constant abuse and belittling of the fans. His response to criticism of the style of football was that his hands were tied thanks to the modest player budget. As all this was happening an increasingly disillusioned ME looked on, unsure of what to do next.

We then had the three Pauls - Hurst, Lambert and Cook. They were all failures with Paul Hurst being the biggest one. He recruited a host of League One quality players who he thought could succeed in the Championship only to set up the club for relegation.

It’s easy now to be critical of those appointments. All six of the managers ME selected had very good resumes. With the possible exception of Paul Lambert, due to his Norwich City connections, the reaction from the fans at the time the appointments were announced was generally enthusiastic.

If you appoint six well-credentialed managers and all six fail you can’t say it was down to poor decision-making. It would be fairer to say that luck or circumstances played a major role.

You could just as easily argue that luck was not the major determinant. The new money attracted a mercenary type of player which the new regime didn’t have the nous to detect. It could also be argued the appointment of managers with a history of achieving promotion looked formulaic when a bold approach would have served the club better.

So, the ME interregnum failed. Some of it was due to poor judgement and leadership while some of it came down to what can be described as luck or the vicissitudes of football.

In the final analysis how did ME fare financially? The answer is he lost a significant amount of money but because of limited disclosure it isn’t possible to say precisely how much.

At the time of the takeover by Gamechanger he was owed £96.4m made up as follows:

- £38.5m in loan notes

- £50.4m lent to the club to cover operating losses

- £7.5m in dividends accrued on preference shares


As is well known, the loan notes relate to the financing by Norwich Union in 2001 for ground improvements. When ME took gained control, the amount outstanding was £27.1m. He was able to negotiate a settlement of the debt, and based on some of the reports at the time, he paid as little as £10m to take it over.

In the accounts this loan was stated at the original £27.1m. Interest continued to accrue until 2012 when the practice was stopped and by that time the book value stood at £38.5m.

The accounts show the loan notes and the advances to cover operating losses were settled by Gamechanger and are no longer on the balance sheet but we don’t know how much ME was actually paid to agree to have them discharged.

ME had injected capital of £8.1m into ITFC by way of preference shares which allowed for a cumulative dividend of 7% p.a. At the time of the takeover the accrued dividends were £7.5m.

The preference shares themselves were transferred to Gamechanger. There was also a settlement of the £7.5m outstanding in accrued dividends. But again, we don’t know the terms.

Gamechanger now stands in the shoes of ME in respect of the £8.1m in preference shares As at 30 June 2023 accrued dividends were £1.3m.

For the sake of completeness, it’s worth mentioning that at the time ME took over the club there were debts outstanding to Barclays Bank and the Royal Bank of Scotland for a total of £5.1m. It appears these debts were paid out from ITFC’s own funds, helped by the equity injections from ME

ME still has a small interest in ITFC. He paid £3.9m to acquire ordinary shares which gave him an 87.5% stake with the fans owning the remaining 12.5%. Following this capital injection, there were 18,047,872 shares on issue. ME subsequently sold 95% of his shares to Gamechanger and again we have no way of knowing how much he was paid.

Finally, it’s possible, even likely, there is a contingency agreement in place whereby ME receives further payment should ITFC be promoted to the Premier League. If there is to be a further payout, it could have implications for funds available for the playing squad and improvements to Portman Road.

In 2021/22 Gamechanger contributed £19.25m in capital and was issued 55 million ordinary new shares. In 2022/23 it injected a further £29.5m and was issued an additional 84.2 million shares.

This has had the effect of further diluting the ownership interest of ME and the fans to virtually zero.

Gamechanger has now been in control for three years and in that time it has transformed ITFC. Their key appointments, Mike O’Leary as chairman and Mark Ashton as CEO, are highly capable and have a good understanding of the modern game. They are also attuned to the culture and traditions of ITFC.

The new management style off the pitch, the capital injections totaling an amount of almost £49m and the inspired appointment of Keiran McKenna as football manager have created a new vibrancy around the club.

The football is attractive to watch, attendances are the highest in ITFC’s history, the appearance of Portman Road has improved with plans for major upgrades and, most importantly, promotion to the Premier League is tantalizingly close.

There is one financial aspect that warrants further investigation. In the 12 months to 30 June 2023, the last year for which accounts were filed, club turnover increased by £8.2m (from £14.5m to £22.7m) thanks to higher attendances and commercial income. However, operating expenses increased by £11.6m (from £26.5 to £38.1m). It largely explains why the club’s operating loss increased from £12.6m to £18.2m.

The blowout in operating expenses cannot be explained entirely by higher salaries. The notes to the accounts reveal that aggregate wages ie. player and non-player wages increased from £16.4m in 2022 to £19.8m in 2023.

The improved maintenance of Portman Road has been welcome but this expenditure also is unlikely to explain the significant increase in operating expenses.

ITFC has been transparent overall but I’m sure fans generally would like to see more detail about the spending of club funds.

We have to remember Gamechanger is not a charity; it is a pension fund with the objective of maximizing the return to its members. At some point it will look to extract value from its investment.

We’ll just have to wait and see how it goes about this and what sort of club ITFC will be in the long term.




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Steve_M added 11:51 - Apr 24
The idea that McCarthy failed in the same way as the other managers Evans appointed is ahistorical nonsense. As dull as some of the games were at the end of his time in charge, subsequent events demonstrate very clearly how much he was holding the club together.

And thinking ME was just unlucky rather than utterly clueless and relying on the advice of people who knew how football worked in the 80s?
5

SmithersJones added 15:29 - Apr 24
Thanks for the blog. The point on operating expenses is a good one - hopefully an explanation will be forthcoming.
But I’m afraid I can’t agree with your statement “If you appoint six well-credentialed managers and all six fail you can’t say it was down to poor decision making. It would be fairer to say that luck or circumstances played a major role”.
You certainly can’t argue it was just bad luck that all six failed (and indeed you acknowledge that later). There has to be a massive element of poor decision making, even if those decisions were (in the main) supported at the time. You acknowledge that maybe we were going after the wrong type of manager - surely that’s a great example of poor decision making?
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atty added 14:34 - Apr 25
Have you seen the letter from the Pl. regarding their shareholding?
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atty added 15:22 - Apr 25
Oops - “Plc”. Basically Plcs circa 13% shareholding now circa 1%, by reason of new share issues. Plus any future dividends go to Gamechanger, nothing for Plc shareholders. There is a reference to debt,or rather avoidance of debt, which rather confused me.
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RegencyBlue added 11:16 - Apr 27
“If you appoint six well-credentialed managers and all six fail you can’t say it was down to poor decision-making. It would be fairer to say that luck or circumstances played a major role”

Or that you have created an environment where pretty much any manager is going to fail because the financial support, infrastructure and support staff being provided is inadequate. We could have appointed Pep himself under Evans and it wouldn’t have made any difference. After Evans initial plan, such as it was, failed miserably he didn’t have a clue what to do and was allowing the club to literally die on its feet.

There are no saving graces for Evans time here. It was 14 wasted years which imho was on the verge of doing irreparable damage to the club. Frankly if I never hear that man’s name again it will be too soon!
1

d77sgw added 09:56 - Apr 29
Really interesting article and whilst we might not agree with everything you've written (yes, that point about six managers failing being down to 'luck' is a bit of a stretch!) much of what is here is balanced and can't be argued with - and good on you for sticking your head above the parapet. You're right to sound a note of caution at the end too - indeed, it would be very interesting to know what lies behind the £11.6m increase in operating expenses when wages only rose £3.4m. We all want success, but that has to be sustainable, and if your articles show us anything its that having an owner who is not invested in your long-term success is a recipe for disaster.
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Bluearmy_81 added 14:25 - May 2
Well said Regency, I’m in complete agreement. I think many fans here are trying to do mental gymnastics because they were way too patient with Evans for way too long and only now is it evident how wrong they were not to call him for the abject failure he was
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atty added 19:23 - May 2
I see my post 15.22 Apr 25 has been tagged “Abuse reported” . What the hell is that all about?
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